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💸 Oil Spiked. So Did Rates.

💸 Oil Spiked. So Did Rates.

Oil jumped amid tensions with Iran, the Fed keeps talking about hikes, and mortgage rates jumped to north of 7.36% in a week. Wednesday's inflation report could decide what's next.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 Oil Is Falling. Rates Are Not. Yet.

💸 Oil Is Falling. Rates Are Not. Yet.

The Fed's first hike in three years should have calmed the bond market. Then Warsh talked. Now falling oil is the only thing pulling rates back from 7%.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 The 10-Year Hit 5%. The Fed Hikes Wednesday.

💸 The 10-Year Hit 5%. The Fed Hikes Wednesday.

An oil shock pushed mortgage rates to a 2026 high near 7%. Now the Fed's first hike since 2023 could either calm the bond market or make things worse.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 The Treasury Is Trying to Buy You a Lower Rate

💸 The Treasury Is Trying to Buy You a Lower Rate

Washington doubled its bond buying and may tap a $1 trillion account to pull long-term rates down. Wednesday's inflation report decides if it works.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 Inflation Hit a 5-Year Low. Rates Didn't Budge.

💸 Inflation Hit a 5-Year Low. Rates Didn't Budge.

Core inflation is the lowest since March 2021, but the 10 Year Treasury is stuck at a ceiling it cannot break. Oil is the reason.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 The Jobs Report Did Its Job. Now It's CPI's Turn.

💸 The Jobs Report Did Its Job. Now It's CPI's Turn.

July payrolls came in badly weak. Now Wednesday's CPI is the moment that could finally crack rates lower.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 Jobs Week Could Crack Rates Open. Or Slam Them Shut.

💸 Jobs Week Could Crack Rates Open. Or Slam Them Shut.

The Fed held again, but three dissenters want to hike. This week's jobs data decides whether rates improve or reverse.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 The Ceasefire Heard 'Round the Bond Market

💸 The Ceasefire Heard 'Round the Bond Market

Oil dropped 5%. The U.S. and Iran paused attacks. Yields fell and bonds bounced. Here is what this week's rate window means for your buyers.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 Inflation Cooled. Oil Didn't Get the Memo.

💸 Inflation Cooled. Oil Didn't Get the Memo.

June inflation came in below expectations. Rates dipped. Then oil got back in the way. Here is what your buyers need to know before making a move.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 Inflation Just Blinked. Oil Didn't.

💸 Inflation Just Blinked. Oil Didn't.

June CPI came in way cooler than expected. The 10-year dropped. Rates moved lower. Then the Strait of Hormuz happened. Here is exactly what your buyers need to know right now.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 Weak Jobs, Stronger Prices

💸 Weak Jobs, Stronger Prices

June hiring badly missed forecasts, but home prices kept climbing anyway. Here's what that disconnect means for your buyers, plus the Fed minutes that could move rates next.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves
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💸 Rates Take the Elevator Up and the Stairs Down

💸 Rates Take the Elevator Up and the Stairs Down

Why rates fall slower than they spike, and the jobs report Thursday that decides the next step. Plus why bare shelves keep home values firm.

Glenn Groves
Glenn Groves